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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1084601001508728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+51Teleop
+53Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
59Total teleop12
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points0
87Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.8
41.941.1
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 22.0
9662
#19
20.31.6
21.920.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
32.80.7
33.232.5
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
red by 17.9
6610
#39
14.91.6
16.514.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Third
9242
#28
14.70.7
15.414.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
red by 5.0
5527
#32
9.71.6
11.39.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed