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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591052040801201401601808184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
66Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
81Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9572
#33
24.21.0
23.824.8
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 4.9
29.11.1
30.028.8
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Second
9251
#34
16.81.0
15.416.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 11.2
6078
#10
28.01.1
29.328.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Third
314
#29
15.81.0
14.815.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
blue by 8.6
5561
#15
24.41.0
24.923.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned