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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97595015011390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
87Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
113Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.6
55.957.5
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 32.5
8426
#35
25.31.9
24.026.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Second
7772
#36
14.51.6
12.914.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 5.2
3098
#27
19.71.9
15.817.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
Third
453
#16
12.81.6
11.212.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 2.9
9237
#38
15.71.9
12.814.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed