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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13047010015020011446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+74Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
15Coral scored#4
53Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
71Total teleop22
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
114Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.0
45.245.2
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 22.8
5046
#11
23.40.6
23.422.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Second
43.60.0
43.243.2
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 30.8
9255
#31
12.80.6
13.412.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
5878
#20
19.90.0
19.619.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
red by 8.6
5517
#23
11.30.6
11.811.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed