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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12982406010012014016018015391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+70Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points41
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
114Total teleop55
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
153Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.8
45.246.0
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 21.8
5561
#15
24.40.2
23.924.0
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
42.20.9
41.142.0
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 18.8
5046
#11
23.40.2
22.823.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Third
9237
#38
15.70.8
14.715.5
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 4.7
6085
#25
20.50.2
19.920.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8