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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107886080100120140160172100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+52Teleop
+60Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +42
27Coral scored#17
96Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
120Total teleop78
Reef
14L4#8
5L3#6
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +72
12Foul points0
172Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.1
48.249.3
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 17.4
32.80.1
32.532.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Second
1684
#24
31.71.1
29.730.8
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 2.6
29.10.1
28.829.0
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Third
3098
#27
19.71.1
17.718.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
blue by 0.2
5878
#20
19.90.1
19.619.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0