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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877940601001207484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
58Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points30
74Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#12
27.50.1
27.727.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
blue by 3.1
7784
#14
30.60.4
30.530.1
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Second
8426
#35
25.30.1
25.525.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
blue by 2.7
6078
#10
28.00.4
27.927.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Third
9572
#33
24.20.1
24.324.2
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
red by 10.7
13.60.4
13.412.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7