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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851024060120140160103102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
75Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +1
12Foul points0
103Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
24.40.2
24.024.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
blue by 8.4
32.80.2
32.632.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Second
5046
#11
23.40.2
23.023.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
blue by 5.7
29.10.2
29.029.1
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Third
6085
#25
20.50.2
20.120.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 0.6
5878
#20
19.90.2
19.719.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0