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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13789406080100120160180200136106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#9
70Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
94Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points18
136Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.4
57.157.5
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 21.0
36.90.1
36.636.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
43.60.4
42.843.2
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 17.1
5907
#18
26.50.1
26.326.3
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Third
9251
#34
16.80.4
16.116.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 3.1
5612
#30
19.90.1
19.719.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9