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Red86
1066416.3
1065119.3
496755.8
Blue71
76588.4
609036.9
28835.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67850501001502008671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
86Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.81.3
38.840.1
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
red by 19.0
6090
#20
36.90.4
28.528.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
Second
19.31.3
15.817.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 16.2
288
#28
35.60.4
36.836.3
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
Third
16.31.3
12.413.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
red by 7.9
7658
#39
8.40.4
12.311.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed