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Red102
24445.8
365838.7
1065427.4
Blue131
910629.0
205471.2
829720.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105103708090110120130140102131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +19
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points34
15Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +12
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points65
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
71Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#6
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
102Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#8
45.80.3
38.438.8
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
blue by 25.4
71.21.8
60.662.4
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
Second
3658
#12
38.70.4
32.833.1
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
red by 9.8
9106
#34
29.01.8
20.121.9
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
Third
27.40.3
20.620.9
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
red by 6.7
8297
#23
20.71.8
17.018.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned