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Red125
207560.3
956631.6
1064219.5
Blue39
780817.0
526011.3
642814.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1113405010015012539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+78Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave6
7Coral scored#0
33Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +51
18Coral scored#5
64Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
78Total teleop27
Reef
9L4#1
8L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
125Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.32.4
44.046.4
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 43.4
7808
#24
17.00.1
10.410.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Second
9566
#11
31.62.4
25.227.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
red by 17.1
6428
#33
14.50.1
10.610.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Third
19.52.4
12.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 8.2
5260
#40
11.30.1
7.67.7
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed