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Red59
781828.6
967124.7
323413.2
Blue112
90419.7
525619.8
442245.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5797020408012014016059112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+41
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +37
10Coral scored#17
35Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
43Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
59Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7818
#13
28.60.2
17.517.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
blue by 17.2
45.81.5
33.735.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
Second
9671
#26
24.70.2
17.917.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 5.0
5256
#31
19.81.5
24.225.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
Third
3234
#27
13.20.2
12.412.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 6.5
904
#18
19.71.5
17.919.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned