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Red83
969715.5
387539.5
920616.5
Blue95
1063339.2
485535.3
438141.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69127501001502008395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
55Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
83Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.7
37.538.2
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
blue by 1.6
4381
#10
41.11.2
37.436.1
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
9206
#29
16.50.7
18.819.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 22.8
39.21.2
36.735.4
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
Third
9697
#38
15.50.7
10.811.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 19.8
4855
#16
35.31.2
34.533.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned