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Red64
828528.1
920832.5
781016.7
Blue68
277141.0
923915.9
21625.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546302040801001201406468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
28Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
64Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#19
32.50.9
21.422.3
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
blue by 8.5
41.00.8
26.427.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
Second
8285
#14
28.10.9
16.116.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 2.5
216
#21
25.60.7
22.122.8
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
Third
7810
#36
16.70.9
13.414.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
red by 0.8
9239
#15
15.90.7
9.19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned