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Red164
205471.2
442245.8
277141.0
Blue68
525619.8
969715.5
1065119.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16452010015020025016468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+74Teleop
+94Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
44Coral points6
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
94Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#14
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
2Foul points0
164Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.2
63.064.3
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 51.4
5256
#31
19.80.0
24.925.0
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
Second
45.81.2
35.536.8
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
red by 26.5
19.30.0
16.916.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
41.01.2
31.132.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
red by 25.5
9697
#38
15.50.0
11.611.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed