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Red53
24445.8
923915.9
642814.5
Blue96
1063339.2
323413.2
496755.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60103501505396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
42Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
53Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#8
45.80.6
38.838.3
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
blue by 10.1
55.80.2
44.044.2
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
Second
9239
#15
15.90.6
11.010.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 23.3
39.20.2
35.235.4
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
Third
6428
#33
14.50.6
12.211.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
red by 1.3
3234
#27
13.20.2
13.413.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned