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Red162
525619.8
205471.2
24445.8
Blue92
642814.5
387539.5
1065119.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1546505010020025016292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +55
26Coral scored#11
92Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
116Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#4
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
162Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.6
64.365.8
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 31.7
39.51.0
37.238.2
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
Second
244
#8
45.81.6
38.339.8
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
red by 26.5
19.31.0
16.917.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
5256
#31
19.81.6
25.026.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 5.2
6428
#33
14.51.0
11.612.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned