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Red54
923915.9
485535.3
525619.8
Blue56
28835.6
1066416.3
780918.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83742040601001201401605456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
54Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#16
35.31.5
35.333.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
blue by 0.2
288
#28
35.61.0
36.635.7
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
Second
5256
#31
19.81.5
26.725.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 1.2
7809
#25
18.51.0
17.016.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
9239
#15
15.91.5
11.510.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 0.4
16.31.0
14.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed