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Red105
609036.9
829720.7
277141.0
Blue60
910629.0
547016.7
642814.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10449015020010560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
105Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.2
36.637.8
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
red by 12.1
9106
#34
29.00.6
23.924.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
Second
6090
#20
36.91.2
31.232.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
red by 20.2
5470
#35
16.70.6
13.514.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Third
8297
#23
20.71.2
18.619.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 6.2
6428
#33
14.50.6
12.913.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed