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Red144
1063339.2
839738.5
21625.6
Blue85
76588.4
438141.1
1065119.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1156405010015020014485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +43
22Coral scored#12
80Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
108Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
144Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.22.5
36.639.0
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
blue by 1.9
4381
#10
41.10.7
35.536.2
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
38.52.5
35.538.0
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
red by 19.2
19.30.7
17.918.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
216
#21
25.62.5
25.928.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
red by 17.2
7658
#39
8.40.7
10.310.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed