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Qual 322025 FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic
Red109
920616.5
442245.8
967124.7
Blue95
526011.3
496755.8
1065427.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868760708010011012013010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
74Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
109Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#3
45.82.0
37.1→39.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
blue by 10.1
4967
#4
55.81.2
45.0→46.3
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
Second
9671
#26
24.72.0
19.7→21.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
blue by 2.7
10654
#30
27.41.2
20.3→21.6
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
9206
#29
16.52.0
19.4→21.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
red by 5.1
5260
#40
11.31.2
8.5→9.7
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed