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Red67
969715.5
28835.6
780817.0
Blue85
780918.5
323413.2
365838.7
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6776020401001201401606785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
45Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
67Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#28
35.60.2
36.536.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
blue by 3.2
3658
#12
38.71.0
35.636.5
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
Second
7808
#24
17.00.2
10.510.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
blue by 1.6
7809
#25
18.51.0
16.017.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Third
9697
#38
15.50.2
11.611.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 2.3
3234
#27
13.21.0
13.514.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned