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Red56
642814.5
828528.1
829720.7
Blue85
90419.7
485535.3
781016.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497702040601001201401605685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
42Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
56Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8285
#14
28.10.4
19.820.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
blue by 7.2
4855
#16
35.31.2
34.035.3
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
Second
8297
#23
20.70.4
18.218.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 1.0
904
#18
19.71.2
18.419.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Third
6428
#33
14.50.4
12.612.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 2.2
7810
#36
16.71.2
13.915.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned