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Red105
438141.1
90419.7
781828.6
Blue80
609036.9
969715.5
526011.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966305015020010580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
65Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
105Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#10
41.11.1
36.237.3
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
red by 4.3
6090
#20
36.91.1
32.433.6
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
Second
7818
#13
28.61.1
20.821.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
red by 13.1
9697
#38
15.51.1
11.712.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
904
#18
19.71.1
19.720.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
red by 8.3
5260
#40
11.31.1
9.710.9
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed