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Red76
1065119.3
839738.5
920616.5
Blue121
780817.0
85829.9
365838.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92928085909510010511576121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+57
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +43
9Coral scored#20
31Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
51Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
76Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.9
38.037.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
blue by 0.2
3658
#12
38.72.4
36.539.0
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
Second
19.30.9
18.617.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 10.6
858
#22
29.92.4
25.928.4
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
Third
9206
#29
16.50.9
21.420.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 0.5
7808
#24
17.02.4
10.613.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed