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Red127
923915.9
442245.8
910629.0
Blue116
956631.6
21625.6
485535.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712350100150200127116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +22
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
95Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points24
127Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.82.6
37.540.2
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
red by 10.4
4855
#16
35.31.4
33.832.4
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
Second
9106
#34
29.02.6
24.627.2
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
blue by 2.6
9566
#11
31.61.4
32.931.5
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
Third
9239
#15
15.92.6
10.012.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 9.7
216
#21
25.61.4
28.126.7
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed