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Red83
828528.1
781828.6
1066416.3
Blue67
547016.7
969715.5
323413.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694702060801001201401608367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points22
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
43Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
12Foul points0
83Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7818
#13
28.60.3
21.922.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
red by 11.9
5470
#35
16.71.0
14.215.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Second
8285
#14
28.10.3
20.220.4
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 12.6
9697
#38
15.51.0
12.913.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
16.30.3
13.013.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
red by 3.1
3234
#27
13.21.0
14.215.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned