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Red98
609036.9
438141.1
365838.7
Blue75
1065427.4
85829.9
920832.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128840501001502009875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
72Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
98Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#10
41.11.7
37.335.5
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
red by 8.6
9208
#19
32.50.6
25.625.0
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Second
3658
#12
38.71.7
39.037.2
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
red by 8.8
858
#22
29.90.6
28.427.8
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
Third
6090
#20
36.91.7
33.631.8
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
red by 9.4
27.40.6
21.921.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed