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Red87
526011.3
1063339.2
205471.2
Blue81
277141.0
525619.8
1064219.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14386501002002508781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points32
0Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
0Processor points18
20Net points8
20Algae points26
72Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
87Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.22.9
72.269.2
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 30.1
41.00.5
37.837.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
Second
39.22.9
39.436.4
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
red by 19.5
5256
#31
19.80.5
25.224.8
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
Third
5260
#40
11.32.9
10.97.9
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 8.2
19.50.5
16.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed