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Red37
76588.4
920616.5
323413.2
Blue125
829720.7
1065119.3
207560.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45108015020037125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+70
Endgame+78
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
6Processor points6
0Net points20
6Algae points26
14Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
8Foul points18
37Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9206
#29
16.51.6
20.518.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 43.9
60.30.7
53.454.1
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
Second
3234
#27
13.21.6
15.213.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 7.5
8297
#23
20.70.7
19.820.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Third
7658
#39
8.41.6
11.19.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 10.9
19.30.7
17.718.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned