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Red77
21625.6
1065427.4
547016.7
Blue83
85829.9
642814.5
781828.6
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7780506070901001107783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+6Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
77Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.3
21.321.6
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
blue by 2.5
858
#22
29.90.5
27.828.2
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
Second
216
#21
25.60.3
26.727.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End2.0
blue by 3.0
7818
#13
28.60.5
22.222.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
5470
#35
16.70.3
15.215.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 2.1
6428
#33
14.50.5
13.914.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned