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Red128
1064219.5
438141.1
496755.8
Blue106
781016.7
277141.0
365838.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099750150200128106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
71Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
128Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.81.7
47.849.4
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
red by 14.8
41.00.8
37.338.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
Second
4381
#10
41.11.7
35.537.2
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
red by 2.4
3658
#12
38.70.8
37.238.1
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
Third
19.51.7
16.318.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 2.8
7810
#36
16.70.8
13.214.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned