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Red121
839738.5
910629.0
76588.4
Blue145
780817.0
956631.6
205471.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9315250200250121145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
81Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
14Foul points0
121Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.4
36.737.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
blue by 32.7
71.20.0
69.269.2
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
Second
9106
#34
29.00.4
27.227.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
blue by 2.6
9566
#11
31.60.0
31.531.5
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
Third
7658
#39
8.40.4
9.510.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 8.5
7808
#24
17.00.0
12.712.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned