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Red75
920616.5
781016.7
609036.9
Blue107
828528.1
1064219.5
85829.9
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808075859010075107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
57Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
75Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#20
36.90.5
33.433.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
red by 7.0
858
#22
29.91.5
28.229.7
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
Second
7810
#36
16.70.5
14.013.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 11.4
8285
#14
28.11.5
20.421.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
Third
9206
#29
16.50.5
18.918.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 3.1
19.51.5
18.019.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed