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Red140
438141.1
207560.3
442245.8
Blue120
910629.0
780817.0
24445.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1599050200250140120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
6Leave9
10Coral scored#0
52Coral points0
58Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#19
52Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
66Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#5
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
140Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.1
54.154.0
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 14.6
244
#8
45.81.8
44.246.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
Second
45.80.1
41.841.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
red by 16.8
9106
#34
29.01.8
27.629.5
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
Third
4381
#10
41.10.1
37.237.1
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End6.6
red by 24.2
7808
#24
17.01.8
12.614.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned