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Red72
323413.2
205471.2
485535.3
Blue65
365838.7
967124.7
90419.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13591501502007265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#9
30Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
72Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.23.0
69.266.2
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 32.5
3658
#12
38.71.5
38.136.6
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
Second
4855
#16
35.33.0
33.930.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
red by 10.6
9671
#26
24.71.5
23.822.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Third
3234
#27
13.23.0
13.610.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 6.5
904
#18
19.71.5
22.220.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed