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Red89
642814.5
277141.0
969715.5
Blue50
1065427.4
76588.4
1066416.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774802040601001201408950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
60Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points2
89Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.5
38.239.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
red by 13.6
27.40.1
21.621.7
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Second
9697
#38
15.51.5
14.516.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 0.8
16.30.1
14.814.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Third
6428
#33
14.51.5
14.315.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
red by 6.1
7658
#39
8.40.1
10.010.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed