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Red146
1063339.2
828528.1
387539.5
Blue108
781828.6
780918.5
956631.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299550150200146108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +42
18Coral scored#17
64Coral points60
4Processor algae#1
9Net algae#4
24Processor points6
36Net points16
60Algae points22
124Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#6
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
146Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.6
31.733.4
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
red by 7.9
9566
#11
31.60.3
31.531.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
Second
39.21.6
36.738.3
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
red by 10.6
7818
#13
28.60.3
22.622.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Third
8285
#14
28.11.6
21.923.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 9.6
7809
#25
18.50.3
13.914.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned