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Red43
1065119.3
526011.3
547016.7
Blue88
829720.7
496755.8
923915.9
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38940501504388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +36
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
21Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
6Foul points0
43Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.4
18.718.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 36.5
55.80.4
49.449.9
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
Second
5470
#35
16.70.4
15.515.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 4.0
8297
#23
20.70.4
19.620.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
Third
5260
#40
11.30.4
9.49.0
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 4.6
9239
#15
15.90.4
12.713.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed