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Red46
781016.7
76588.4
967124.7
Blue47
1065427.4
910629.0
969715.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498002040601001201404647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto15
Teleoperatedlevel
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
26Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
46Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9671
#26
24.70.0
22.322.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
blue by 4.2
9106
#34
29.01.3
29.528.1
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
Second
7810
#36
16.70.0
13.613.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
blue by 10.7
27.41.3
21.720.4
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
Third
7658
#39
8.40.0
10.110.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 7.1
9697
#38
15.51.3
16.014.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed