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Red130
485535.3
609036.9
828528.1
Blue114
323413.2
387539.5
839738.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10191406080120140130114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+26Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
17Coral scored#18
62Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
94Total teleop86
Reef
8L4#6
9L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
130Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#20
36.91.9
33.034.9
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End2.5
blue by 2.6
39.51.2
33.434.6
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
Second
4855
#16
35.31.9
30.932.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
blue by 3.1
38.51.2
37.538.7
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
Third
8285
#14
28.11.9
23.625.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End6.0
red by 14.9
3234
#27
13.21.2
10.711.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned