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Red103
547016.7
923915.9
207560.3
Blue75
920832.5
90419.7
1065119.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94695015010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
64Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
103Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.31.4
54.055.4
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
red by 27.8
9208
#19
32.50.7
25.926.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Second
5470
#35
16.71.4
15.116.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 3.0
904
#18
19.70.7
20.721.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Third
9239
#15
15.91.4
13.114.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
blue by 3.4
19.30.7
18.218.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned