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Red92
365838.7
1064219.5
829720.7
Blue195
442245.8
781828.6
496755.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831405010015020092195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+85
Endgame+103
Fouls+103
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +71
16Coral scored#33
57Coral points120
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
77Total teleop148
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#10
3L2#12
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +103
0Foul points0
92Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#12
38.70.5
36.636.1
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
blue by 17.1
55.83.4
49.953.3
Auto12.8
Teleop36.1
End7.0
Second
8297
#23
20.70.5
20.019.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
blue by 25.1
45.83.4
41.745.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
Third
19.50.5
19.418.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 9.1
7818
#13
28.63.4
22.926.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned