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Red136
205471.2
85829.9
28835.6
Blue108
1066416.3
1063339.2
780817.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1637250100150200250136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
3Leave0
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points12
41Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
91Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
136Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.5
66.265.7
Auto20.9
Teleop42.2
End8.1
red by 31.9
39.21.3
38.339.6
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
Second
288
#28
35.60.5
34.033.5
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
red by 18.6
7808
#24
17.01.3
14.415.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
858
#22
29.90.5
29.729.2
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
red by 13.6
16.31.3
14.916.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed