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Red82
956631.6
323413.2
526011.3
Blue142
780918.5
277141.0
24445.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6613505010015020082142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+48
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points52
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
62Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
82Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#11
31.60.0
31.831.8
Auto6.2
Teleop22.8
End2.6
blue by 14.2
244
#8
45.80.7
45.446.0
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End6.5
Second
3234
#27
13.20.0
11.911.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 27.9
41.00.7
39.640.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End6.5
Third
5260
#40
11.30.0
9.09.0
Auto1.3
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 7.2
7809
#25
18.50.7
14.214.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned