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Red79
485535.3
1065119.3
910629.0
Blue80
547016.7
781016.7
387539.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8971204060801001201407980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
59Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
79Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#16
35.30.5
32.832.4
Auto6.4
Teleop26.6
End2.3
blue by 4.1
39.51.0
34.635.6
Auto5.9
Teleop30.5
End3.1
Second
9106
#34
29.00.5
28.127.7
Auto2.6
Teleop22.7
End3.7
red by 12.2
7810
#36
16.71.0
13.614.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End3.4
Third
19.30.5
18.918.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 2.6
5470
#35
16.71.0
16.517.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned