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Red44
76588.4
781828.6
525619.8
Blue104
365838.7
920616.5
923915.9
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738405010015044104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +44
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points45
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
31Total teleop75
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points6
44Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7818
#13
28.61.8
26.424.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End6.8
blue by 10.1
3658
#12
38.71.4
36.137.5
Auto5.5
Teleop31.2
End2.0
Second
5256
#31
19.81.8
22.320.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 3.3
9206
#29
16.51.4
15.717.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
7658
#39
8.41.8
10.18.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 7.5
9239
#15
15.91.4
14.515.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed