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Red86
829720.7
28835.6
1065427.4
Blue116
207560.3
90419.7
1063339.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761365010015020086116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points21
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
60Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
86Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#28
35.60.7
33.534.2
Auto6.0
Teleop25.4
End4.1
blue by 24.8
60.30.4
55.455.0
Auto16.9
Teleop33.5
End10.0
Second
27.40.7
20.421.0
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End1.3
blue by 11.8
39.20.4
39.639.3
Auto3.5
Teleop33.9
End1.8
Third
8297
#23
20.70.7
19.520.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.7
red by 1.0
904
#18
19.70.4
21.421.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned