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Red112
85829.9
839738.5
442245.8
Blue97
967124.7
642814.5
920832.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436505010020011297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
80Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
112Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.8
45.144.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.7
End7.2
red by 13.2
9208
#19
32.51.5
26.628.1
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Second
38.50.8
38.737.9
Auto7.0
Teleop23.3
End8.1
red by 13.8
9671
#26
24.71.5
22.323.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Third
858
#22
29.90.8
29.228.4
Auto6.8
Teleop24.4
End-1.3
red by 15.4
6428
#33
14.51.5
14.015.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned